Picks And Parlays

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals have a history of playing some high scoring games against each other. Jake Westbrook just came back from an injury and he didn't look sharp in his first start back. Edwin Jackson has a 4.58 ERA in his career against the Cardinals, and most of the guys in this St. Louis lineup have great numbers against him. This number isn't set very high, so I like the value. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6. The over is 6-0-1 in Westbrook's last 7 as a -151 to -200 favorite. The over is 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 against the Cubs. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers are not an easy team to beat at home, but this is a good setup for the underdog. Chris Tillman has a 1.25 ERA in his career with Mark Wegner as the home plate umpire. Tillman has also been great as a road underdog. Baltimore is 9-0 in Tillman's last 9 starts as a road underdog. Rick Porcello has struggled against the Orioles. The Tigers are 1-4 in Porcello's last 5 against Baltimore. This price is too much to pass up on the underdog. Take the Orioles here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Chris Sale is a dominating pitcher and the Minnesota Twins haven't been able to hit him at all in the past. How good has Sale been against the Twins? He has a sparkling 0.93 ERA in 29 innings against the Twins. The White Sox aren't a particularly good team, but neither are the Twins. Minnesota's lineup isn't anything special, and Sale should mow them down as he has in the past. The White Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 games against the Twins. Take the White Sox with their Ace on the mound.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Bronson Arroyo has a nice history against his old team (the Pittsburgh Pirates) and he also has pitched great with Jerry Meals as the home plate umpire. Meals will be behind the plate here. Arroyo has a 1.73 ERA in 7 starts with Meals as the home plate umpire. Jeff Locke has been a great young lefty for the Pirates. In two starts against the Reds, he has a 1.86 ERA. Neither of these offenses are hitting it well right now. The under is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 games. The under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 8 starts. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. In Mat Latos' career against the Pirates he has a 2.3 ERA. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't very strong from top to bottom this year. Charlie Morton has been very good against the Reds in the past. No one in the Reds lineup sees the ball well against him. The breeze will be blowing in slightly which should help keep it in the yard more than normal. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts following a loss for his team. The under is 7-1 in Latos' last 8 as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. Take the under.

*3 Star Spurs/Heat ATS CASH* The San Antonio Spurs are only one game away from winning another NBA title. It won't be easy in Miami, but this veteran Spurs team knows how to win and they won't make it easy for the Heat either. Gregg Poppovich is probably the best coach in the NBA right now, and he'll have a good game plan for this one. The Heat were favored by 4.5 or 5 in Game One at home, and that is probably about where this line should be. The Heat are getting more credit from the linesmakers because of their ability to bounce back from losses recently. Still, the Spurs are a tough opponent that has been in this situation several times before. The Spurs are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 NBA Finals game. Take the points and the Spurs here.

*3 Star MLB Dog of Day* The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Colorado Rockies as a decent underdog last night, and I love the value here again. Tyler Chatwood isn't the kind of pitcher that should be -150 against anyone, especially when his offense will be without Troy Tulowitzki (their best hitter in my opinion), and probably Dexter Fowler as well. The Phillies aren't great, but they are too good to be this big of an underdog against Chatwood and a short-handed Rockies team. Take the Phillies.

*3 Star MLB Run Line Revenge* I picked the St. Louis Cardinals last night in Game One of this series. They would have won the game if it weren't for key error that scored two runs, but I expect them to bounce back big in this one. Koehler hasn't faced a lineup this good so far this year. Lance Lynn has been a money maker for Cardinals bettors for quite some time. The Cardinals are 21-7 in Lynn's last 28 starts. The Marlins are 17-40 in their last 57 against a righty. It's the best team in the league against the worst here. Take St. Louis -1.5.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has shocked a lot of people this year (myself included). The Royals rank first in the American League in team ERA. Kansas City has gotten great work from Jeremy Guthrie all year, and he has been great in Tampa Bay in the past. Alex Cobb is one of the most underrated young pitchers in the league. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts when his team scored 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Washington Nationals and Cleveland Indians have very similar records heading into this game. If we assume that both lineups are pretty similar at this point (and I do), then we can break down the game based on starting pitching and the bullpens. There is absolutely no doubt that Washington has a huge edge here with Zimmerman starting. Zimmerman is one of the most consistent starters in baseball. Kazmir has an ERA over 5 this year. The Nats bullpen is solid while the Indians are in the bottom 5 of the majors. Take Washington.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The single best 'under' umpire in baseball is Doug Eddings. He'll be behind the dish in this one. Eddings has the biggest strike zone in the league and he loves ringing up batters. Both of these pitchers should benefit from an expanded strike zone, because they are nibblers to start with. These offenses have been in a real funk of late. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts on 6 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts against the AL West. The under is 6-1 in the Astros last 7 home games. Take the under.