Author: Alex MacMillan

The San Francisco 49ers enter Monday Night Football as one of the NFL's last undefeated teams, and prediction-market traders are giving them a substantial advantage against Washington. San Francisco is 5-0 after a 32-29 comeback win over Seattle, while the Commanders arrive at Levi's Stadium with a 1-3-1 record and…

The Golden State Valkyries are one win into the 2026 WNBA Finals, but Saturday's 68-64 victory over the Atlanta Dream hardly settled the matchup. Atlanta led by five entering the fourth quarter at Chase Center and had a chance to steal the series opener before Golden State's defense took over.…

Saturday night's college football schedule is built around one of the biggest games of the season. No. 2 Georgia visits No. 6 Alabama in a matchup of undefeated SEC contenders, and prediction-market traders are almost evenly divided. Kalshi currently gives Alabama approximately a 53% chance to beat Georgia, compared with…

The Las Vegas Aces have reached the first true elimination game of their title defense. Golden State leads the WNBA semifinal series 2-0 after winning both games in San Francisco, but prediction-market traders still favor Las Vegas to extend the series Friday night. Kalshi currently gives the Aces approximately a…

The Dallas Cowboys enter Thursday Night Football as one of the strongest prediction-market favorites on the Week 5 board. Kalshi currently gives Dallas approximately a 79% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with Tampa Bay around 21%. The market is reacting to a matchup that has become increasingly difficult…

The Philadelphia Flyers visit the New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with coverage on ESPN+. This is the regular-season opener for both teams. Philadelphia finished 43-27-12 last season, while New Jersey went 42-37-3.…

The Golden State Valkyries enter Wednesday night with a chance to finish their first-round playoff series against the Dallas Wings. Kalshi's current market gives Golden State approximately a 64% chance to win Game 2, compared with roughly 36% for Dallas. The prediction market favors the Valkyries after they overwhelmed the…

The Vegas Golden Knights enter NHL opening night as one of the strongest favorites on Tuesday's prediction-market board. Kalshi currently gives Vegas approximately a 69% chance to beat the Chicago Blackhawks, compared with 31% for Chicago. The matchup already had a sizable talent gap on paper, and Chicago's opening-night roster…

The New York Liberty produced the biggest surprise of the opening day of the 2026 WNBA playoffs. Kalshi traders gave New York only about a 29% chance to beat Minnesota in Game 1, while the top-seeded Lynx entered around 71%. The Liberty flipped that market with a 91-75 road victory.…

Raul Rosas Jr. and Raoni Barcelos close Saturday's UFC Fight Night card with one of the deepest remaining combat-sports prediction boards of the night. The main card is already underway, but the bantamweight headliner is still ahead. That makes the most useful markets no longer just "who wins?" Kalshi has…