These two teams have played all their games over the totals. Defense is more of a factor in the playoffs, however, these two teams have too much firepower on both sides to stay under this total. OKC plays at a fast pace and they will dictate the pace at home so expect the Mavericks to chase the score and bring more points and possessions in this game. With Doncic playing injured, their defensive play may suffer, allowing more points for the Thunder and more of a run and gun type game. The only game that featured all players on both sides was in the Feb, 10th game and that had 256 points. Both teams can get over 100 points in this game and it won’t take much to take it over. Despite being a slow paced defensive team, the Mavericks played their last five of six games to the Over. When the Thunder play Dallas, they have played seven of their last eight head to head matchups, over the total. OKC is 13-6 to the Over this season after 2 or more consecutive unders. Dallas is 7-4 to the Over this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. There is value for bettors to take the Over.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.