MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Texans vs Jaguars Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Houston 20.92 Jacksonville 20.01 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.91 - Current Line: +6 - Variance to Line: 5.09 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 5.09 points which qualifies as a play with tighter lines in NFL comparatively with CFB. Projected box-score shows Texans rushing edge of 51.23 yards in excess of Jaguars rushing total. Key factors noted: Jacksonville had more losses (8) by a touchdown or less than any other team last year. The Jaguars were on the cusp of victory in many of their losses last season and their two defeats against the Texans were by a combined margin of just 4 points. Houston has a Thursday night game on deck. Jacksonville a different team since firing Gus Bradley (prior head coach) and Jaguars bring a 3-0 ATS run into the new season. Projected box-score shows Jacksonville with a passing edge of 39.81 yards in excess of Houston passing total. Net edge of just 11.42 total yards for Texans equating to victory by only 0.91 points per MIT Simulator. Play: JAGUARS