MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Rams vs Colts Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Indianapolis 23.66 LA Rams 20.41 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.25 - Current Line: +5 - Variance to Line: 8.25 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.25 points. Value in excess of a TD! Projected box-score shows Rams rushing edge of 37.14 yards in excess of Colts rushing total. Key factors noted: Big line move to Rams because Colts starting Scott Tolzien at QB (Andrew Luck is out) but LA Rams are on a 1-11 SU run. Los Angeles has new head coach and also has been plagued by distraction of Aaron Donald (defensive lineman) holdout situation. Indianapolis will need to run the ball to soften defense for Tolzien to attack downfield and they'll be helped by a Rams defense that ranked 23rd in league last season. LA also lost significant personnel on the defensive side for a 2nd straight season. Projected box-score shows Indianapolis with a passing edge of 72.87 yards in excess of Los Angeles passing total. Net edge of 35.73 total yards for Colts equating to victory by 3.25 points per MIT Simulator. Play: COLTS