MIT Simulator - NFL Thursday Bengals vs Texans Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cincinnati 19.16 Houston 18.85 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.31 - Current Line: 6.5 - Variance to Line: 6.19 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 6.19 points. Value in excess of TD (6 points). Projected box-score shows Texans rushing edge of 39.62 yards in excess of Bengals rushing total. Key factors noted: Texans have won 6 of the last 7 meetings. Houston QB Watson will get the start for an expected boost for the team. Cincinnati QB Dalton threw 4 interceptions Sunday. Texans turnover issues Sunday related to fumbles (3) not interceptions (1) - generally an easier fix. Bengals off of a shutout loss that dropped them to 5-13 ATS last 18 games. Projected box-score shows Cincinnati passing edge of 54.25 yards in excess of Houston passing total. Net edge for Bengals of only 14.63 total yards equating to victory by just the slimmest of margins - 0.31 points - per MIT Simulator. Play: TEXANS +6.5