MIT Simulator - MLB Wednesday Rangers vs Astros Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Astros 6.71, Rangers 3.42 - Projected Margin: 3.29 - Current Price on Run Line: -115 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor in excess of 3 runs on game with low price on the run line (-1.5 runs). Price on Run Line likely to be rising prior to game time but value is still there considering blowout likely in this match-up. Projected box-score shows Astros outhitting Rangers by 6.79 hits. Key factors noted: Entering Tuesday, Houston had won 9 of 11 games. The Astros are 4-0 in Justin Verlander's 4 starts since coming to Houston and the tough right-hander has 0.64 ERA with them. Verlander's long-term numbers show that he has been charged with 2 or less earned runs in 13 of his last 15 games. The Rangers, entering Tuesday, had lost 11 of their last 16 games. Nick Martinez is 0-4 with a 6.80 ERA in his last 10 appearances (6 starts). Projected box-score shows Astros outhitting Rangers by 3.09 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to margin of 3.29 runs in favor of Houston per MIT Simulator. Play: ASTROS Run Line