MIT Simulator - CFB Wednesday Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Arkansas State 27.85, Georgia Southern 26.61 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.24 - Current Line: 7.5 - Variance to Line: 6.26 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 6.26 points. Value in excess of TD (6 points). Projected box-score shows Eagles rushing edge of 125.31 yards in excess of Red Wolves rushing total. Key factors noted: Georgia Southern has revenge after blowing 4th quarter 9 point lead and losing in the final seconds in last year's match-up. Arkansas State has a number of skill position players whom are listed as probable but whom are dealing with nagging injuries. This includes Red Wolves QB Justice Hansen dealing with back injury. Eagles have played the tougher schedule and have run for at least 230 yards in 2 of their 3 games. Arkansas State has allowed at least 225 yards rushing in 2 of their 3 games. Red Wolves have been strong through air but strength of Eagles defense has been defending the pass. Projected box-score shows Arkansas State passing edge of 139.44 yards in excess of Georgia Southern passing total. Net edge for Red Wolves of only 14.13 total yards equating to victory by just the slimmest of margins - 1.24 points - per MIT Simulator. Play: GEORGIA SOUTHERN