MIT Simulator - CFB Thursday NC State vs Louisville Winner
MIT Simulator Score - NC State 35.22, Louisville 29.84 - Projected Margin of Victory: 5.38 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 9.88 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.88 points. Value nearly double digits! Projected box-score shows Wolfpack rushing edge of 32.04 yards in excess of Cardinals rushing total. Key factors noted: NC State has revenge after getting embarrassed badly in last season's loss to Louisville (down 44 points at the half). Wolfpack have a strong defensive line that is ready to key on Louisville star QB Jackson. NC State QB Finley is off to a fantastic start and the Cardinals played two soft opponents in their last two games but they began the season allowing 331 passing yards per game in their first 3 games versus tougher competition. QB Finley can take advantage and the Wolfpack defense has big motivation for revenge against Jackson after the way the Heisman Trophy winner embarrassed them last season. Projected box-score shows NC State passing edge of 18.51 yards in excess of Louisville passing total. Total edge for underdog Wolfpack of 50.55 total yards equating to victory by 5.38 points per MIT Simulator. Play: NC STATE