MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Raiders vs Ravens Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Baltimore 21.76, Oakland 17.61 - Projected Margin of Victory: 4.15 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 7.15 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.15 points. Value in excess of a TD. Projected box-score shows Ravens rushing edge of 11.43 yards in excess of Raiders rushing total. Key factors noted: With the loss of Derek Carr to injury the Raiders are a different team. That was evident with the way last season ended after Carr was lost late in year to injury just before post-season. On Sunday, EJ Manuel expected to be under center for Oakland in this one. Ravens have revenge from close losses (1 point last year, 4 points in 2015) in each of the last two meetings. Raiders have scored only 10 points in each of their last two games. Baltimore, other than embarrassing loss to Jacksonville in London, have allowed an average of just 12 points per game in their other 3 games. Good defense against a back-up quarterback has certainly factored into MIT Simulator point projection for this game. Projected box-score shows Baltimore with a passing edge of 26.52 yards in excess of Oakland passing total. Combined edge of 37.95 yards for Ravens equating to victory by 4.15 points per MIT Simulator. Play: RAVENS