MIT Simulator - MLB Wednesday Cubs vs Nationals Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cubs 4.54, Nationals 3.09 - Projected Margin: 1.45 - Current Money Line: -158 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of nearly 1.5 runs making run line a "toss up" but money line worthy of investment here. Projected box-score shows Chicago outhitting Nationals by 3.02 hits. Key factors noted: Post-season experience factor for these starting pitchers. Cubs Jake Arrieta 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA and .201 BAA in 7 post-season starts. Nationals Tanner Roark has pitched in 3 playoff games (1 start) and has a 3.86 ERA but has a .323 BAA. Even though Washington's Roark has pitched well in the second half of the season so too has Arrieta. Additionally, Arrieta certainly has the "post-season veteran edge" in this match-up. With the added factor of home field edge this is a strong "play on" situation. Nationals have lost 5 of last 8 road games while Cubs have won 9 of last 10 home games. Projected box-score shows Chicago outhitting Washington by 1.57 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to margin of 1.45 runs in favor of Cubs per MIT Simulator. Play: CHICAGO CUBS