MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Cardinals vs Buccaneers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Tampa Bay 26.73, Arizona 17.97 - Projected Margin of Victory: 8.76 - Current Line: 1 - Variance to Line: 7.76 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.76 points. Value in excess of a TD. Projected box-score shows Buccaneers rushing edge of 36.28 yards in excess of Cardinals rushing total. Key factors noted: Tampa Bay lost to New England last week by just 5 points and that was even with 3 missed field goals. Arizona got blasted at Philadelphia last week. Cardinals now 0-5 ATS on the season. Arizona's ground game worst in the league with just 51.8 yards per game. Defenses able to focus on stopping Cardinals passing attack because Cardinals run game hurt with the loss of Johnson to injury. Buccaneers seeking revenge for a 40-7 loss at Arizona last September. Tampa Bay on 9-5 ATS run versus teams with a winning record and 19-6 ATS in road games with a total between 45.5 and 49 points. Arizona on an 8-17 ATS run in domed games and that includes 6-13 ATS when the Cardinals are at home. Arizona unlikely to get back on track against a hungry team seeking revenge. Projected box-score shows Tampa Bay with a passing edge of 59.91 yards in excess of Arizona passing total. Combined edge of 96.19 yards for Buccaneers equating to victory by 8.76 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BUCCANEERS