MIT Simulator - CFB Thursday Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Mountaineers 31.10, Eagles 21.55 - Projected Margin of Victory: 9.55 - Current Line: 18.5 - Variance to Line: 8.95 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.95 points. Value is in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Appalachian State rushing edge of only 6.93 yards in excess of Georgia Southern rushing total. Key factors noted: The Mountaineers are only 6-12 as a home favorite. They have suffered back to back losses SU and ATS as a favorite and now they are a huge favorite because Georgia Southern is 0-8 SU this season. The Eagles have played better in their last two games (one ATS win and one ATS push) as they have seemed to respond under their interim coach. Getting another chance to perform well on a televised weeknight game is not something the win-less Eagles will take lightly. Georgia Southern is 8-4 ATS in games played in weeks 10 through 13 and won't quit against a rival they've been playing for 25 years straight! Appalachian State would love to get the blowout win here but they allowed 356 passing yards last week on the road plus have allowed an average of 344 passing yards per game in their past two home games. With the Mountaineers on a 2-12 ATS run in home games with an O/U between 49.5 and 56 points, look for this game to be much closer than many are expecting. Projected box-score shows Mountaineers passing edge of 99.75 yards in excess of Eagles passing total. Total edge of 106.68 total yards for the big favorite equating to victory by 9.55 points per MIT Simulator. Play: GEORGIA SOUTHERN