MIT Simulator - CFB Friday UNLV vs BYU Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Rebels 31.86, Cougars 17.12 - Projected Margin of Victory: 14.74 - Current Line: 4.5 - Variance to Line: 10.24 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.24 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows UNLV rushing edge of 98.65 yards in excess of BYU rushing total. Also, Rebels passing edge of 45.76 in excess of Cougars total. Key factors noted: BYU lost QB Mangum to injury and now must go with Hoge. The Cougars already had one of the worst offenses in the nation and UNLV holds big edge on offense in this match-up. Rebels averaging 30 points per game compared to Cougars averaging only 15 points per game! On the season UNLV is averaging 252.3 rushing yards per game compared to BYU's average of only 110.5 rushing yards per game. BYU is a perfect 8-0 in games played in Vegas but the way this line was set tells you all you need to know here. The Cougars have fallen a long way and this is UNLV's chance to exact revenge. Brigham Young is just 2-8 SU (and ATS) this season. The Rebels are 6-3 ATS on the season. UNLV has momentum here after a big 2nd half versus Hawaii last week in what was the Rebels 2nd straight win. This is UNLV's home finale and they'll take advantage of facing a weak BYU team with a back-up QB in this one. MIT Simulator composite forecast, including combined yardage edge of 144.41 equates to Rebels victory by 14.74 points. Play: UNLV