MIT Simulator - NBA Friday Jazz vs Heat Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Miami 99.47, Utah 95.41 - Projected Margin of Victory: 4.06 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 7.56 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.56 points. Value is over a half dozen points! Key factors noted: Other than a bad game at Golden State, Hassan Whiteside has had a huge impact since returning to the lineup. He has shot very well, other than against Warriors, and has had double digits in rebounds in 3 of the other 4 games too. Other than the loss to GS, Miami has won 3 of 4 games since Whiteside returned and the only other loss was by a single point. The Jazz have lost 3 straight games and 2 of those were at home. The road team won both meetings (SU and ATS) last season. The Jazz are 23-33 ATS off of a non-conference game. The Heat are 14-9 ATS (and 16-7 SU) when off of a game in which they scored 115 points or more. Miami is also 50-26 SU (and 45-31 ATS) against teams with a losing record. Projected box-score shows rebounding edge for Heat who just outrebounded Phoenix by 20 while the Jazz have been outrebounded in 3 straight games. The box-score also shows big shooting edge for Miami which is not a surprise given the fact that Utah has allowed 51.7 FG% last 3 games compared to the Heat allowing only 40.5 FG% last 3 games. Whiteside is having a huge impact for Miami. Net edge factors for Heat equating to upset victory by 4.06 points per MIT Simulator. Play: MIAMI