MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Mavericks vs Spurs Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Dallas 102.03, San Antonio 98.95 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.08 - Current Line: +7 - Variance to Line: 10.08 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.08 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Spurs are 0-3 SU and ATS in the front-end of back to backs this season. This is another tough one too because San Antonio knows their tougher game is tomorrow night at Minnesota. As well-coached as San Antonio is, it is hard not to look past a 3-11 team. Even though Dallas is a division rival, they have fallen so much in recent seasons that the Spurs don't view them as the threat they once did. That said, the Mavericks should prove to be the more motivated team tonight. Dallas is beginning a 4-game homestand but, after this match-up, they are off until Friday so the Mavs will certainly "leave it all on the floor" tonight. The Mavericks are 31-19 ATS after a loss by a double digit margin. The Spurs have only 1 cover in 5 road games this season. Projected box-score shows shooting edge for Dallas which seems like a surprise but should not be. That's because Dallas has shot over 48.5% from the field in 2 of its last 4 homes while San Antonio has been held under 41.5% in 4 of its 5 road games. The Spurs road struggles are likely to continue without Kahwi and Parker plus now Green (listed as questionable) could have an impact. Net edge factors for Mavericks equating to upset victory by 3.08 points per MIT Simulator. Play: DALLAS