MIT Simulator - CBB Wednesday St Mary's vs Cal State Fullerton Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Gaels 79.21, Titans 62.71 - Projected Margin of Victory: 16.5 - Current Line: +28 - Variance to Line: 11.50 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.50 points. Value is nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: St Mary's, of course, has the name recognition and the home court edge here. Cal State Fullerton plays in the lesser-known Big West Conference and most will be looking at backing the bigger school here. The fact is that the Titans are very talented and athletic and the Gaels are off of two very easy wins but yet allowed their opponent to shoot at least 48% in each win. Bad habits can develop when wins are coming easy and a team is not having to play defense. Don't be surprised if, as a result, St Mary's lets Cal State Fullerton hang around in this game much longer than many are expecting. This type of early-season game means much more to a team like the Titans than it does to an established team like the Gaels. The Titans are 3-1 ATS as a road dog of 24.5 to 30 points. The Gaels drop to 8-13 ATS in their last 21 lined games versus teams with a losing record. Net edge factors for St Mary's equating to a victory by only 16.5 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CAL STATE FULLERTON