MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Pittsburgh vs Green Bay Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Steelers 23.27, Packers 20.06 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.21 - Current Line: 14 - Variance to Line: 10.79 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.79 points. Value in double digits! Projected box-score shows Pittsburgh passing edge of 47.82 yards in excess of Green Bay passing total. Projected box-score also reflects Steelers rushing edge of 10.28 yards in excess of Packers rushing yardage total. Key factors noted: The Steelers have won 5 straight but 3 of those 5 victories came by 6 points or less. This line is inflated because of the Packers ugly home loss versus the Ravens by 23 points last week. That loss was actually fueled by turnovers as Green Bay outgained Baltimore in that contest. The Packers also outgained the Bears the week before in a win at Chicago. Of course the Packers are not the same team without Aaron Rodgers but this line has simply gone way too far. As a favorite of 10 points or more, Pittsburgh is 12-26 ATS! The Steelers are also 2-8 ATS before a Monday game. Green Bay is 9-1 ATS as a dog of more than 2 points against an AFC opponent. MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to a small margin victory for the Steelers by just 3.21 points. Play: GREEN BAY