MIT Simulator - NFL Monday Ravens vs Texans Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Baltimore 17.92, Houston 10.30 - Projected Total Points: 28.22 - Current O/U: 38.5 - Variance to O/U: 10.28 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.28 points. Value is double digits. Key factors noted: The Ravens strength on offense is the ground game but the Texans strength on defense is defending the run. Houston's strength on offense is the passing attack but Baltimore's strength on defense is defending the pass. You can see why, despite the low O/U posted on this game, the under is the way to go and the Simulator is predicting a very low score. Of course the Texans are a different team without Deshaun Watson at QB. Houston is averaging only 17.33 points per game their last 3 games. Baltimore's defense is allowing only 7.67 points per game their last 3 games. The O/U is 10-28 in Ravens games versus teams from the AFC South. The O/U is 12-23 in Texans games versus teams from the AFC North. Projected box-score shows Ravens and Texans combining for 165.26 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows Baltimore and Houston combining for 338.93 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 504.19 total yards equating to 28.22 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER