MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Wake Forest vs Illinois Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Demon Deacons 85.51, Illini 83.46 - Projected Total Points: 168.97 - Current O/U: 157.5 - Variance to O/U: 11.47 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.47 points. Value is double digits. Projected box-score shows Wake Forest and Illinois combining for 16 three pointers, 40 two pointers, 41 free throws. Key factors noted: Illinois is averaging 89 points per game this season but now face a team that will undoubtedly match them bucket for bucket in this one. Wake Forest is hitting 39% of their three pointers this season. However, the Demon Deacons are allowing opponents to connect on 43% of their three pointers this season. This one sets up well to be a run and gun affair with plenty of quick shots from both teams. Of course that is why the O/U is so big but the fact is that it is not big enough! This total has dropped down into the 150s due to line movement but even if it goes back up to where it was, the Wake Forest O/U is 9-2 in home games with a total in the 160s. Also, Demon Deacons O/U 18-10 after scoring 80 points or more in their prior game. Illini O/U 7-4 in games against teams with a losing record. Strong O/U line value here per the simulation. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 169 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER