MIT Simulator - NCAAB Wednesday Nevada vs Illinois State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wolf Pack 76.83, Redbirds 73.37 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.46 - Current Line: +13.5 - Variance to Line: 10.04 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.04 points. Value is in double digits! Key factors noted: A rebuilding season for the Redbirds and they've tested themselves early with a tough schedule. Look for that to pay off here, at least in terms of an ATS cover. Illinois State comes into the season projected to be one of the top teams in the MVC while the Wolf Pack, despite some key personnel losses, are projected to again be near the top of the MWC. Nevada has covered all 6 of their games but this is a big number to cover against a Redbirds team that is playing great defense ever since losing their season opener. In their last 5 games Illinois State has held all 5 opponents to 40% or less from the field. That keeps them in this game all the way. Off a rare poor shooting effort versus Charleston Southern in their most recent game, the Redbirds bounce back against a Wolf Pack team still relishing a trip to Hawaii and a win over the Rainbow Warriors on Friday. Look for a shocker here as the dog is in this one all the way against a Nevada team that lost 3 starters from last season's strong team but has managed a crazy 6-0 ATS start to the season. Net edge factors for the Wolf Pack equating to a victory by only 3.46 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ILLINOIS STATE