MIT Simulator - NCAAF Saturday Toledo vs Akron Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Rockets 34.96, Zips 21.82 - Projected Margin of Victory: 13.14 - Current Line: +21 - Variance to Line: 7.86 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.86 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Toledo passing edge of 31.78 yards in excess of Akron passing total. Key factors noted: Zips starting QB Thomas Woodson has served his suspension and will be eligible for the MAC Championship Game. Akron has revenge from ugly loss by 27 at Toledo in late October. Toledo ranks significant edge on offense but Woodson's expected return could be a difference maker here. The huge line posted on this game means value with the underdog whose defense is very nearly equal to the defense of the big favorite. Zips are 4-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points this season. Akron also is on an 8-3 ATS run when revenging a loss against an opponent. Projected box-score shows Rockets rushing edge of 94.59 yards in excess of Zips rushing total. Combined edge of 126.37 total yards for the favorite equating to margin of 13.14 points per MIT Simulator which equates to solid line value with the big underdog. Play: AKRON