MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Chargers vs Browns Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Los Angeles 24.19, Cleveland 20.31 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.88 - Current Line: +14 - Variance to Line: 10.12 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.12 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Chargers passing edge of 28.11 yards in excess of Browns passing total. Key factors noted: It may seem hard to play the Browns but they did outgain Cincinnati despite still falling short in a non-covering loss last week. Also, Cleveland's lone win last season was versus the Chargers. Additionally, the last time the Browns played the Chargers out west they lost at San Diego by just 3 points two years ago. The Simulator is projecting another tight game here (Browns win last year was also by 3 points) and the Chargers are off of a big Thanksgiving Day win at Dallas and they have a match-up with the Redskins on deck. Very easy for LA to overlook a winless Browns team here. Cleveland is very hungry to get that first win and, though they are likely to fall short here, the points are simply too much. Cleveland is 5-0 ATS L5 versus the Chargers. Los Angeles is 7-14 ATS at home and 8-13 ATS in games where they are favored by 10 or more points. Projected box-score shows Los Angeles rushing edge of 13.20 yards in excess of Cleveland's rushing total. Combined edge of 41.31 total yards equating to a win by 3.88 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BROWNS