MIT Simulator - NCAAF Saturday Navy vs Army O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Midshipmen 30.20, Black Knights 27.31 - Projected Total Points: 57.51 - Current O/U: 46 - Variance to O/U: 11.51 - MIT Simulator calculates Edge Factor of 11.51 points. Value nearly a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Navy and Army combining for 642.59 yards of rushing total. Key factors noted: These guys have been playing each other for over 125 years! This long-time rivalry has been a defensive struggle at times in recent seasons. In fact, the O/U is 0-11 in the last 11 meetings! However, the odds makers are well aware of that as well and yet they opened up with this O/U in the mid-50s. As expected, the O/U has been pushed down the mid-40s as of the time of this posting (early Thursday morning). The value is clearly with the over here because all 3 of Navy's QBs are now healthy and the Army offense also has had one of their better seasons in recent years. The Black Knights are averaging 31.2 points per game this season and they finished up the season winning 6 of their last 7 games and averaging 33.4 points per game. As for Navy, when they were a dog (and a bit over-matched) they struggled at times on offense. But as a favorite this season (7 games), Navy won 6 of 7 games and their offense averaged 36.4 points per game. Projected box-score shows Midshipmen and Black Knights combining for 142.37 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 784.96 total yards equating to 57.51 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER