MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Cardinals vs Titans Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Tennessee 27.96, Arizona 14.92 - Projected Margin of Victory: 13.04 - Current Line: -2.5 - Variance to Line: 10.54 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.54 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Titans rushing edge of 66.70 yards in excess of Cardinals rushing total and passing edge for Tennessee of 81.41 yards in excess of Arizona's total through the air. Key factors noted: The Titans are 8-4 on the season and have a game with a very poor 49ers team on deck. Based on that, there is no way Tennessee is going to overlook this 5-7 Arizona team this week. The Cardinals struggles have continued with 4 losses in their last 6 games. The average margin of defeat in those 4 losses has been 16 points and no defeat came by less than 6 points. The Titans have won 6 of 7 and all six wins came by at least 3 points. With the the number moving lower in this match-up there is solid line value with the small road favorite at a bargain price. The pass defense has been a Titans weakness at times but the Cardinals offense (without Carson Palmer at QB) hasn't shown the consistent ability to take advantage of that. Tennessee is 48-27 ATS in non-conference games. Arizona is 4-14 ATS in games against teams with a winning record. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 148.11) equating to Tennessee victory by 13.04 points. Play: TITANS