MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Kings vs Suns Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Phoenix 108.15, Sacramento 102.10 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.05 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 10.55 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.55 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Suns enter on a 3-game losing streak but they haven't had a futility run of more than 3 games since early November. Phoenix has a great chance to snap their skid here as they face a Kings team that has lost 10 of its last 15 games. Even at home Sacramento has struggled this season as the Kings are being outscored by an average of 6.7 points per game. Sacramento just got blasted as host by the Raptors as the Kings lost by 25 points. Expecting a bounce back might be the normal thought process here but the Kings are only 3-7 SU, with only 2 ATS wins in those 10 games, when off of a defeat by a double digit margin. The Suns certainly have shortcomings on defense but they are averaging 107.1 points per game on the season. A key here is the Kings offensive ineptitude as Phoenix is 4-0 SU and ATS in games against teams that score an average of 98 points or less per game. Phoenix is 8-4 ATS in road games this season. Net edge factors for Suns equating to upset victory by 6.05 points per MIT Simulator. Play: PHOENIX