MIT Simulator - NBA Saturday Timberwolves vs Suns Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Minnesota 110.37, Phoenix 108.65 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.72 - Current Line: +12 - Variance to Line: 10.28 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.28 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Suns continue to loss but they've remained quite competitive. The last 6 losses for Phoenix have come by an average margin of 7.33 points. The Timberwolves are only 4-3 in their last 7 games with only 1 of those victories coming by more than 6 points. As you can see, this one may be much tighter than many are expecting. Each of the the last 4 meetings (including both this season) have been decided by 11 points or less. Phoenix is 3-0 ATS the last 3 times they've been a double digit road dog. Minnesota is known for playing down to the level of competition and is 32-56 ATS in games against teams with a losing record. The Wolves have covered only 7 of 21 (33%) as a favorite this season. The Timberwolves are 10-23 SU (and 11-21 ATS) when off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. With Minnesota off of a blowout win and the Suns off of a tight loss, the road team will prove to be the hungrier one in this one! Net edge factors for Suns equating to tight loss by only 1.72 points per MIT Simulator. Play: PHOENIX