MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Panthers vs Packers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Green Bay 27.20, Carolina 20.16 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.04 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 10.04 - MIT Simulator calculates Edge Factor of 10.04 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Packers rushing edge of 22.03 yards in excess of Panthers rushing total. Key factors noted: Green Bay gets Aaron Rodgers back and the Packers got a boost after rallying for the overtime win at Cleveland last week to keep their playoff hopes alive. Carolina off of an upset win versus Minnesota. Panthers facing a 3rd straight tough game after losing to the Saints the week prior to the win over the Vikings. Green Bay has had the easier schedule of late with wins over Tampa Bay and Cleveland. The Buccaneers and Browns are a combined 4-22 on the season. Boosted by the return of Rodgers the Packers will prove to be the more "ready" team for this game. The Panthers are 3-13 ATS when playing the 2nd of back to back home games. Green Bay is 7-3 ATS as a dog of more than 2 points facing an opponent with a winning percentage of .667 or greater. The Packers also are on an 8-2 ATS run in December games. Combined ATS records are 28-8 (78%) in favor of the road dog here. Projected box-score shows Green Bay passing edge of 36.17 yards in excess of Carolina passing total. MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to a yardage edge of 58.20 yards and an upset win here for GB by 7.04 points. Play: PACKERS