MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday 49ers vs Titans Winner
MIT Simulator Score - San Francisco 27.94, Tennessee 17.33 - Projected Margin of Victory: 10.61 - Current Line: -0.5 - Variance to Line: 10.11 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.11 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows 49ers rushing edge of 19.26 yards in excess of Titans rushing total and passing edge for San Francisco of 68.88 yards in excess of Tennessee's total through the air. Key factors noted: This line may look "off" to the casual observer but the fact that the 49ers (at 3-10) are a small favorite over the Titans (at 8-5) is certainly not an error. San Francisco has been a different team in recent weeks and has won 3 of its last 4 games after starting the season 0-9. Also, the Niners only loss during this 4-game stretch saw them outgained by only 38 yards by the Seahawks. With their new QB (Garoppolo) the 49ers look like a different team. The Titans could struggle to score points here as the Niners have allowed an average of only 19 per game in their last 5 games. Tennessee's offense has struggled away from home with an average of only 13.3 points per game in their last 6 games away from Nashville. The Titans are on a 5-16 ATS run against teams with a losing record. San Francisco is 9-5 ATS against AFC South opponents. The 49ers passing attack has thrown for at least 266 yards in 4 of last 5 games. Tennessee's passing attack has averaged only 156.3 yards per game in last 3 contests. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 88.14) equating to San Francisco victory by 10.61 points. Play: 49ERS