MIT Simulator - NCAAF Wednesday SMU vs Louisiana Tech Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bulldogs 38.10, Mustangs 31.93 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.17 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 10.67 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.67 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Louisiana Tech passing edge of 25.57 yards in excess of SMU passing total. Key factors noted: The Mustangs will have RB coach Jeff Traylor serving as interim head coach for this one since Chad Morris is headed to Arkansas. That certainly won't help SMU in this match-up. The Mustangs defense is also a major weakness. Southern Methodist University allows 35.5 points and 486.7 yards per game. By comparison, the Bulldogs defense allows only 26.7 points and 395.2 yards per game. Louisiana Tech is 10-5 ATS when off of a win in conference action and also 4-1 ATS as an underdog in a range of 3.5 to 10 points. SMU enters this bowl game on a 1-6 ATS run. The Mustangs are 29-42 ATS when off of a win in conference action. Projected box-score shows Bulldogs rushing edge of 46.35 yards in excess of Mustangs rushing total. Combined edge of 71.92 total yards equating to an upset win by 6.17 points per MIT Simulator. Play: LOUISIANA TECH