MIT Simulator - NCAAF Thursday Florida International vs Temple Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Owls 35.90, Panthers 20.34 - Projected Margin of Victory: 15.56 - Current Line: 7 - Variance to Line: 8.56 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.56 points. Value is more than a full TD! Projected box-score shows Temple passing edge of 87.27 yards in excess of Florida International passing total. Key factors noted: The FIU defense got worse as the season went on while the Temple offense improved. Owls QB Marchi got hurt but back-up QB Nutile became more comfortable in the offense as he gained experience. Temple's late season production shows the improvement and it continues here against a struggling Panthers defense. Florida International gave up at least 37 points in 3 of last 4 games. The Owls defense held their opponents to 26 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games. Temple is on a 4-1 ATS run against Conference USA opponents and a 4-0 ATS run as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS when they enter a game on a winning streak of 2 games or more and FIU is also 2-5 ATS as an underdog in a range of 3.5 to 10 points. Projected box-score shows Owls rushing edge of 27.60 yards in excess of Panthers rushing total. Total edge of 114.87 total yards for the favorite equating to blowout victory by 15.56 points per MIT Simulator. Play: TEMPLE