MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday Arizona vs Connecticut Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wildcats 74.75, Huskies 59.21 - Projected Total Points: 133.96 - Current O/U: 145.5 - Variance to O/U: 11.54 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.54 points. Value is nearly a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Arizona and Connecticut combining for 12 three pointers, 34 two pointers, 30 free throws. Key factors noted: Allonzo Trier, Arizona's leading scorer probably will "give it a go" tonight but, even if he does, he is not 100% due to a knee injury suffered in the Wildcats most recent game. Also, the Wildcats offense gets a lot of attention (and rightfully so with their ability to put up big points) but Arizona's defense is also doing a respectable job holding opponents to 42.5% from the field. The Huskies don't shoot well as they are hitting 40.7% from the field and 31.2% from three point land . The Wildcats should be able to get a big lead in this game and then slow the game down as the big lead will negate the need for a run and gun affair. Also, Connecticut knows that their best chance to hang around in this game is to keep the tempo slow so you can bet that this will be the Huskies game plan here. UConn O/U is 3-8 last 11 December games. The last game between these teams (in 2011) totaled 128 points and the simulator is forecasting a similar total in this rematch. Strong O/U line value here per the simulation. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 134 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER