MIT Simulator - NCAAF Saturday South Florida vs Texas Tech O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bulls 38.76, Red Raiders 35.88 - Projected Total Points: 74.64 - Current O/U: 65.5 - Variance to O/U: 9.14 - MIT Simulator calculates Edge Factor of 9.14 points. Value nearly double digits. Projected box-score shows South Florida and Texas Tech combining for 393.62 yards of rushing total. Key factors noted: Both teams made strides on defense this season but are a bit over-rated on that side of the ball too. The Bulls benefited from facing much less "unique" offenses than the one they will face with their bowl opponent. The Red Raiders had a lot of fortunate "bend but don't break" efforts where teams wasted golden opportunities in their red zone. They deserve some credit for those for sure but certainly won't be so fortunate against a South Florida team that is averaging over 500 yards of offense and nearly 40 points per game. The Red Raiders offense is also dangerous. Their last two games were low-scoring efforts against solid defensive teams but these were preceded by Texas Tech scoring 34 points or more in 7 of their first 10 games this season. Red Raiders O/U is 20-8 in games played on a neutral field. Bulls O/U is 5-0 in games with a line between +3 and -3. Projected box-score shows Bulls and Red Raiders combining for 604.92 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 998.54 total yards equating to 74.64 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER