MIT Simulator - NCAAB Friday Eastern Michigan vs Oakland Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Eagles 80.83, Golden Grizzlies 79.27 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.56 - Current Line: +7.5 - Variance to Line: 9.06 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.06 points. Value nearly double digits! Key factors noted: Even though this is a revenge spot for the Golden Grizzlies, it is a tough scheduling spot. Oakland is off of a win Wednesday vs Towson State so they are on short rest. The Golden Grizzles are not only looking ahead to their Christmas break,they also start conference play immediately after that as they face Wisconsin-Milwaukee Thursday. The Eagles definitely hold the scheduling edge here as they have been off since Saturday and they don't start conference play until January! Eastern Michigan will certainly leave it "all on the floor" in this one as they look to sweep their nearby rivals (these schools separated by only 50 miles). The Eagles hot shooting is likely to be the difference here as they've shot better than 52.5% in three straight games! Though the Grizzlies have played the tougher schedule this season, Eastern Michigan's hot streak and hot shooting (plus the fact they already beat Oakland this season) gives them plenty of confidence here. Confident, hot teams that are playing with rest make for dangerous underdogs. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest between games. Eastern Michigan is 9-3 ATS against teams that allow an average of 77 points or more per game. Oakland is 6-11 ATS (and a surprising 8-9 SU) as a home fave of 6.5 to 9 points and another upset is what the Simulator is forecasting here but grab the generous points being offered. Net edge factors for Eagles equating to an upset victory by 1.56 points per MIT Simulator. Play: EASTERN MICHIGAN