MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Buccaneers vs Panthers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Carolina 24.87, Tampa Bay 21.98 - Projected Margin of Victory: 2.89 - Current Line: +10.5 - Variance to Line: 7.61 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.61 points. Value is a full TD! Projected box-score shows Panthers rushing edge of 19.64 yards in excess of Buccaneers rushing total and passing edge for Carolina of 12.58 yards in excess of Tampa Bay's total through the air. Key factors noted: The Buccaneers have lost 4 straight but each of their last 3 losses have been by 6 points or less including 2 straight defeats coming by just a field goal. The Panthers, even though they have been winning, have seen 4 of their last 5 victories come by 8 points or less. There is value with the big line here as the Bucs play hard in looking to play the role of spoiler against a division rival here. Carolina is on a 6-10 ATS run against divisional foes. Tampa Bay has a history of getting the cash against better foes later in the season. The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS when, after the midway point of the season, they face a team with a winning record. The Bucs are also 19-9 ATS in road games with an O/U between 45.5 and 49 points. Tampa is also 10-5 ATS after playing on Monday Night Football. As a road dog of 10.5 to 14 points, Tampa Bay has gone 10-4 ATS. The Panthers get the win here but not the cover. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 32.22) equating to Carolina victory by 2.89 points. Play: BUCCANEERS