MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Cardinals vs Giants Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Arizona 24.86, New York Giants 21.77 - Projected Total Points: 46.63 - Current O/U: 38.5 - Variance to O/U: 8.13 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 8.13 points. Value is in excess of a full TD. Key factors noted: A match-up of two non-playoff teams at this time of year can bring out a lot of offense as there tends to be a drop-off in defensive intensity. Considering that key factor as well as the downward move on this O/U - now down to a 38.5 - and you have a lot of value here. The Cardinals only scored 15 points last week but that is because they scored 5 field goals. The Giants have allowed 28.4 points per game their last 7 games so the Cards should be able to find the end zone a few times in this one! New York's offense showed great improvement against the Eagles last week and that should carry over into this game. The Cardinals have allowed at least 20 points in 8 of their last 10 games so, with the low O/U you can see the value here. The Giants O/U is 9-5 when they enter a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Arizona's O/U is 12-5 in games with a line between +3 and -3. Projected box-score shows Cardinals and Giants combining for 216.85 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows Arizona and NY Giants combining for 512.08 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 728.93 total yards equating to 46.63 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER