MIT Simulator - NCAAF Wednesday Texas vs Missouri Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Longhorns 34.53, Tigers 27.34 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.19 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 10.19 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.19 points. Value is double digits! Projected box-score shows Texas passing edge of 66.27 yards in excess of Missouri passing total. Key factors noted: The Longhorns are angry after what happened in their season finale - a loss to the in-state rival Red Raiders. Texas is ready to take out their frustration in this bowl game. The fact that the markets have been aggressively backing Missouri has led to even more line value here on the Longhorns. Texas head coach Herman is 9-1 ATS as an underdog and 6 of the 9 victories have been outright upsets! Missouri is certainly hurt by the time off factor as they were one of the hottest teams to close out the season but now have been waiting nearly 5 weeks for this game. Texas, of course, has also been off for nearly 5 weeks too but the difference is that the Longhorns weren't the red hot team that the Tigers were. Missouri comes in having lost their momentum while the Horns come in playing with a chip on their shoulder after the loss to the Red Raiders. The fact that Missouri's offensive coordinator Heupel took the head coaching job at Central Florida certainly won't help the Tigers here either! UT also has played the tougher schedule this season in comparison with Missouri. Projected box-score shows Longhorns rushing edge of 17.83 yards in excess of Tigers rushing total. Combined edge of 84.10 total yards equating to an upset win by 7.19 points per MIT Simulator. Play: TEXAS