MIT Simulator - NBA Wednesday Kings vs Cavaliers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cleveland 104.65, Sacramento 104.38 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.27 - Current Line: +9.5 - Variance to Line: 9.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.23 points. Value is nearly double digits! Key factors noted: The Cavaliers are off of a depressing Christmas Day loss to Golden State. Of course those are the same Warriors that prevented the Cavs from winning another NBA title last season. The fact is that this was a big game for Cleveland they couldn't get the job done. That is the type of frustrating loss that can leave a team flat in their next game. Certainly the Cavaliers should be able to do enough to defeat the Kings but covering this large spread on the road is another challenge altogether. As hot as Cleveland has been in terms of SU wins and losses their ATS record shows that they continue to be over-valued. The Cavaliers are 5-21 ATS as a favorite this season. Also, Cleveland is 3-14 ATS in their games against teams with a winning record. This is nothing new either as the Cavs long-term mark in games against teams with a losing record is 33-62 ATS. The Kings are one of the lower scoring teams in the league but Cleveland is 7-16 ATS against teams that average scoring 98 points or less per game. Sacramento got blown out by the Clippers last but Los Angeles just wouldn't miss. The Kings had 16 more field goal attempts than the Clips but lost by 27 due to very hot shooting. Net edge factors for Cavaliers equating to a virtual toss-up game being decided by the slimmest of margins per MIT Simulator so grab the points here! Play: SACRAMENTO