MIT Simulator - NCAAF Thursday TCU vs Stanford Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cardinal 27.78, Horned Frogs 21.27 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.51 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 9.51 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 9.51 points. Value is nearly double digits! Projected box-score shows Stanford passing edge of 35.62 yards in excess of TCU passing total. Key factors noted: The Cardinal are 9-4 this season and only 1 loss came by more than 3 points. Getting a full field goal here with the Cardinal is an excellent value. The Horned Frogs are playing this game in their home state but there are a surprising number of California transplants in Texas. Certainly the crowd will favor TCU but there will be more Stanford support than many are expecting in this match-up. On the season TCU was slightly better statistically than the Cardinal on both sides of the ball. However, Stanford did face the slightly tougher schedule. Also, the pass defenses are rated as equal and the Cardinal do run the ball better than the Horned Frogs. Stanford is 13-5 ATS (including 4-1 since 2015) in neutral site games. This season the Cardinal went 5-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. TCU went 2-4 ATS this season in games against teams with a winning record. Also, the Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS since 2015 when they are playing with 2 or more weeks of rest between games. Projected box-score shows Cardinal rushing edge of 31.27 yards in excess of Horned Frogs rushing total. Combined edge of 66.89 total yards equating to an upset win by 6.51 points per MIT Simulator. Play: STANFORD