MIT Simulator - NCAAF Thursday Washington State vs Michigan State O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Spartans 20.19, Cougars 17.57 - Projected Total Points: 37.76 - Current O/U: 47.5 - Variance to O/U: 9.74 - MIT Simulator calculates Edge Factor of 9.74 points. Value nearly double digits. Projected box-score shows WSU and MSU combining for 121.72 yards of rushing total. Key factors noted: Michigan State held the opposition to 14 points or less in 7 of their 12 games this season. Washington State has scored only 16 points per game in their last two bowl appearances as the time off between games seems to throw off the timing of the offense. The Cougars defense did improve greatly this season. With consideration given to that, as well as the fact the Spartans were held to 18 points or less in half their games, it definitely looks like both teams are going to struggle to score points here. Washington State did hold 8 of 12 opponents to 27 points or less here and the Spartans weakness is their offense. MSU, before scoring 40 points against a very weak Rutgers team, was held to 18 points or less in 6 of their previous 9 games. Michigan State O/U is 10-17 when they are a favorite. Washington State O/U is 1-5 when off of a loss to a conference opponent. WSU also has an O/U of 3-6 in bowl games. Projected box-score shows Spartans and Cougars combining for 439.80 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 561.52 total yards equating to 37.76 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER