MIT Simulator - NCAAF Friday Northwestern vs Kentucky Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Northwestern 34.95, Kentucky 17.03 - Projected Margin of Victory: 17.92 - Current Line: 7.5 - Variance to Line: 10.42 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.42 points. Value is double digits. Projected box-score shows Northwestern passing edge of 49.29 yards in excess of Kentucky passing total. Key factors noted: Northwestern's strength on offense is running the ball and Kentucky's weakness on defense is stopping the run. That sets this one up well to be a mismatch. Northwestern is 7-0 SU and ATS in their last 7 games. Kentucky is on a 1-7 ATS run entering this bowl match-up. Kentucky allowed 727 rushing yards in its last two regular season games. Northwestern ran for 583 yards in its last two games. Complete mismatch here and Kentucky is on a 2-11 ATS run in non-conference games. Northwestern is 4-1 ATS when playing with two or more weeks of rest between games and also 4-0 ATS as a favorite in a range of 3.5 to 10 points. Projected box-score shows Northwestern rushing edge of 114.18 yards in excess of Mountaineers rushing total. Total edge of 163.47 total yards for the favorite equating to blowout victory by 17.92 points per MIT Simulator. Play: NORTHWESTERN