MIT Simulator - NCAAF Monday Georgia vs Alabama O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Alabama 19.38, Georgia 14.41 - Projected Total Points: 33.79 - Current O/U: 45.5 - Variance to O/U: 11.71 - MIT Simulator calculates Edge Factor of 11.71 points. Value is nearly a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Alabama and Georgia combining for 297.83 yards of rushing total. Key factors noted: With the Bulldogs off of an incredible Rose Bowl battle with Oklahoma that went to overtime and totaled over 100 points many will be inclined to back the over here. However, Georgia head coach Smart was a defensive coordinator for 8 years under Alabama head coach Saban and the defenses are likely to rule this game. The Crimson Tide offense totaled only 261 yards in their 24 to 6 win over Clemson in the Sugar Bowl. The key was an Alabama defense that allowed only a total of only 188 yards to a potent Tigers offense. This was the 3rd straight under for the Crimson Tide as their defense has allowed an average of only 10.7 points per game in their last 3 games. The Alabama offense has averaged only 19 points per game in their last 2 games against SEC competition and they now face a Georgia defense that knows plenty about the inner workings of the Tide offense. In their last 3 SEC games, the Bulldogs have allowed an average of only 9 points per game. Georgia O/U is 1-4 when they are an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Alabama O/U is 0-3 when they are a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Projected box-score shows Crimson Tide and Bulldogs combining for 276.18 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 574.01 total yards equating to only 33.79 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER