MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Fresno State vs Boise State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Broncos 73.92, Bulldogs 67.54 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.38 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 10.88 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.88 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: After beginning the season 13-2, the Broncos lost by a single point at Wyoming Saturday. Boise State will look to get right back to their winning ways and they have been playing very solid defense. The Broncos catch Fresno State at the right time as the Bulldogs are off of a win but had previously lost 3 of 5. Fresno State has not managed back to back wins in the past 4 weeks. The Bulldogs are on an 0-5 ATS run and, though they are off of a win, Fresno State's most recent victory was by a margin of only 3 points. The Bulldogs got the best of the Broncos in both meetings last season so Boise State is playing this game with double revenge. Fresno State is off of a tight win over Colorado State and it was the Rams that handed the Bulldogs their final regular season loss last season so that was a revenge win for them Saturday. Boise State had covered 8 of 10 before the 1-point loss at Wyoming and they get right back on track here. Net edge factors for Broncos equating to upset victory by 6.38 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BOISE STATE