MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Vikings vs Saints Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Minnesota 28.81, New Orleans 17.01 - Projected Margin of Victory: 11.80 - Current Line: -4 - Variance to Line: 7.80 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.80 points. Value is a full touchdown here. Projected box-score shows Vikings rushing edge of 51.48 yards in excess of Saints rushing total and passing edge for Minnesota of 62.37 yards in excess of New Orleans' total through the air. Key factors noted: The Vikings allowed only 275.9 yards per game this season and they are rested off of their bye week. The Saints are off of a fierce battle with the Panthers last week where they barely hung on for the tight 5-point win. Much has been made of New Orleans improved defense this season but they have allowed over 400 yards per game plus 28.5 points per game the past two weeks. The Saints D has given up 23.4 points per game their past 8 games while the Vikings D has held 11 of last 14 opponents to 17 points or less! In 8 home games this season Minnesota has allowed only 12.5 points per game. The Vikes outgained New Orleans by 126 yards in a 10 point home win in their season opener and a similar result is forecast here per the Simulator. The Saints went 1-4 ATS as an underdog this season. The Vikings are on a 17-4 ATS run in dome games and wrapped up the season with a win over the NFC North rival Bears. The Vikings are 9-0 ATS when off of a win versus a divisional opponent. MIT Simulator composite forecast (Total yardage edge of 113.85) equating to Minnesota victory by 11.80 points. Play: VIKINGS