MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday UC Irvine vs Cal State Fullerton Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Titans 73.82, Anteaters 67.29 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.53 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 10.03 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.03 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Cal Irvine knew they would have holes to fill coming into this season but they just didn't realize how tough they would be to fill! The Anteaters lost 3 All-Big West selections from last season's team and they've struggled considerably. The plan was for UC Irvine to rely heavily on their defense and while they have been solid on the defensive end, Cal State Fullerton has been just as solid. The problem for the Anteaters is they're making 43.4% of their field goals. The Titans do have the better offensive production in this match-up (46.4% from the field) while the defensive production could be considered even. With that said, the value here is with the underdog especially when factoring in double digit losses in each of their last two visits to Irvine. The fact is that Cal State Fullerton wants this game badly and wants to prove they are true contender in the Big West this season. The Anteaters are 1-9 SU against teams with a winning record this season. The Titans are 5-1 SU against teams with a losing record this season. Grab the points here but expect the outright victory! Net edge factors for Titans equating to upset victory by 6.53 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CAL STATE FULLERTON