MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Xavier vs Creighton Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bluejays 87.51, Musketeers 80.92 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.59 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 10.09 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.09 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The dog has covered each of the last 5 meetings between these teams. There is certainly some value in having the points as, not only has the underdog covered 5 straight, the last 4 meetings have been decided by no more than 5 points per game! Xavier is seeking revenge for being knocked out of the Big East tournament by Creighton last March but the Musketeers are off of an ugly loss at Villanova. Xavier is 7-13 ATS when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. The Musketeers enter this contest off of back to back losses and haven't shown a knack for bouncing back from losses in conference action. Xavier is 6-10 ATS when off of a loss to a Big East foe. Unlike Xavier, Creighton is rolling into this game with plenty of confidence as they've won 9 of last 10 games. The Bluejays offensive production (89.9 ppg) makes them a threat to go on a big scoring run at any time in a game. Of course these are the toughest types of team to "put away" as they always seem to respond to any deficit with a big scoring run of their own. The Bluejays are on a 13-6 ATS mark in January games and are 6-3 ATS this season in games with an O/U in a range between 160 and 169.5 points. Net edge factors for Bluejays equating to upset victory by 6.59 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CREIGHTON