MIT Simulator - NCAAB Monday UIC vs Oakland Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Flames 81.83, Golden Grizzlies 74.16 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.67 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 12.17 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.17 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Illinois-Chicago has a losing record on the season but the Flames are 7-3 at home. They host a Golden Grizzlies team that is only 3-5 on the road this season. Oakland has a 1-5 ATS record against teams with a losing record this season. Once again the Golden Grizzlies appear to be over-valued in this role and this is a team that has failed to cover 5 straight games. The Grizzlies have won each of their last two games straight-up so there is no extra urgency from Oakland even though they're on a poor ATS run. The extra urgency will be coming from the Flames in this one. UIC has historically not fared well against the Golden Grizzlies and they were swept again last season. The Flames seek revenge in this one and they have won 3 straight games - SU and ATS. In comparing these two teams Oakland has the more impressive numbers on offense but the Flames have been much better than the Golden Grizzlies defensively and UIC also has the added edge of the home floor for this one. As a home dog of 3.5 to 6 points the Flames have gone 3-1 ATS with all 3 wins being outright upsets and that is what is forecast here. Net edge factors for Flames equating to upset victory by 7.67 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ILLINOIS-CHICAGO