MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Purdue vs Wisconsin Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Boilermakers 70.07, Badgers 53.12 - Projected Total Points: 123.19 - Current O/U: 133.5 - Variance to O/U: 10.31 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.31 points. Value is double digits. Projected box-score shows Purdue and Wisconsin combining for 12 three pointers, 31 two pointers, 25 free throws. Key factors noted: Wisconsin has been dealing with a battle of attrition in the backcourt and it certainly has impacted their production. The Badgers average only 58.6 points per game on the road and make only 25.4% of their three pointers away from home. The Boilermakers are allowing only 58.5 points per game game at home this season. You can see that points will be tough to come by for Wisconsin here but the Badgers also know their only chance to hang around in this game is to play stifling defense and slow the game down. Wisconsin knows they can't get in a shootout on the road with a Boilermakers team that has the type of potent offensive production Purdue does. Further support for the type of game expected here is the fact that Wisconsin is on an O/U run of 0-4 and Purdue is on an O/U run of 0-4. The Badgers have allowed only 60 points per game and the Boilermakers only 57 points per game during their 0-4 O/U runs. As an underdog Wisconsin O/U is 5-18. Purdue, as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points, has an O/U of 9-14. Strong O/U line value here per the simulation. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 123 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER