MIT Simulator - NBA Wednesday Rockets vs Mavericks O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Houston 117.54, Dallas 111.51 - Projected Total Points: 229.05 - Current O/U: 216.5 - Variance to O/U: 12.55 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.55 points. Value is a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Mavericks and Rockets combining for 29 three pointers, 52 two pointers, 38 free throws. Key factors noted: The Rockets O/U is 0-5 last 5 games but it actually has helped to keep this total lower than it should be. Houston has been without some key players in many of those recent games but it is now again "all hands on deck" for the Rockets. Also, Houston's most recent game was played after a huge win over Golden State so there was a reason it was a bit of a "plodding affair" where a total of only 189 points were scored. After that rare (but explainable) low-scoring game, the Rockets will be back to firing away 3s and the Mavericks will answer with plenty of their own per the Simulator. Before their low-scoring win over Washington Tuesday, the Mavs had averaged 111.4 points per game in their 5 prior home games. Dallas O/U is 3-0 this season after a game in which they held the opposition to 85 points or less. Mavericks O/U is 6-1 after a win by 10 or more points this season. Rockets O/U is 12-6 this season after a non-conference game. Going from facing the Eastern Conference Heat to the division rival Mavs will bring out plenty of push in terms of the pace of the Rockets offense in this one. With hot shooting a part of the forecast, the Simulator projects good value with this total. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 229 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER