MIT Simulator - NCAAB Friday Michigan State vs Wisconsin Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Spartans 71.81, Badgers 64.33 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.48 - Current Line: +17.5 - Variance to Line: 10.02 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.02 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Spartans are off of a bit of a fortunate cover at Illinois as they were favored by about a dozen points and won the game by 13 thanks to 68% shooting from the field overcoming 25 turnovers in the game for Michigan State. As tough of a season as the Badgers have had thus far, they are still the type of team that generally plays smart basketball and limits turnovers. The Spartans certainly are the better team and definitely the much more talented team but the Simulator is predicting the Badgers to hang around in this game. While Michigan State is allowing only 63 points per game this season, Wisconsin is not too far behind as they're allowing only 65 points per game. Of course there is a big gap between these teams when you compare the offensive firepower. However, Michigan State has a tough road game at Maryland on deck and did lose at home to Michigan and certainly the Spartans were not impressive in a 4-point home win over Rutgers as a 22 point favorite. The Badgers are 3-1 SU this season when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. After an embarrassing road loss at Iowa, a much better effort from Wisconsin can be expected here. Michigan State is 1-4 ATS this season when they are off of a win in Big Ten action. Net edge factors for Spartans equating to a game decided by single digits per MIT Simulator. Play: WISCONSIN